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The End of a Dark Age? Skeptics Doubt Randi on Global Warming

Just as the final bell begins to toll on the the decade from hell, at least one faint spark appeared to light the unknown dread ahead. James “the Amazing” Randi, that old conjurer largely responsible for making debunking of the paranormal if not an actual religion then at least a national pastime, has been hoisted on his own petard.

For decades Randi has gotten away with ridiculing all evidence of paranormal and psychic phenomena, often with little or no investigation into the claims. Nonetheless, the “skeptics” who share his view that anyone who makes paranormal claims is either self-deluded or fraudulent consider Randi–as did the MacArthur Foundation–a genius.

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Serious researchers –Puthoff & Targ, Dean Radin, and Rupert Sheldrake, to name four– push back, a response that elicits a flurry of emails in which Randi continues to claim authority while evading direct questions . The skeptical community never bats an eye.

Then just two weeks ago, Randi picked the wrong fight by weighing in on in on the subject of Man-Made Global Warming.

“The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) — a group of thousands of scientists in 194 countries around the world, and recipient of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize — has issued several comprehensive reports in which they indicate that they have become convinced that “global warming” is and will be seriously destructive to life as we know it, and that Man is the chief cause of it. They say that there is a consensus of scientists who believe we are headed for disaster if we do not stop burning fossil fuels, but a growing number of prominent scientists disagree. Meanwhile, some 32,000 scientists, 9,000 of them PhDs, have signed The Petition Project statement proclaiming that Man is not necessarily the chief cause of warming, that the phenomenon may not exist at all, and that, in any case, warming would not be disastrous. ..I strongly suspect that The Petition Project may be valid. I base this on my admittedly rudimentary knowledge of the facts about planet Earth.”

The reaction was swift and merciless as his tribe of fellow travelers instantly debunked the post, characterized him as a global warming denier, chastised him for commenting publicly without knowing what he was talking about, and scolded him for using his very public platform to give ammunition to the anti-science crowd.
Of course he quickly responded to their outrage in characteristic fashion:

“Well, my piece on AGW — Anthropogenic Global Warming — has elicited a huge response, both positive and negative. The subject, dealing with the influence of our species on the observed increase in overall temperatures around the globe — said to be about 0.7º Celsius — is apparently a matter of great contention, and I almost regret having entered into it. Almost…” He goes on to quote several readers’ outraged responses, agreeing that he got some things wrong, before wrapping up with an admonishment: “Again, the importance and the impact of this phenomenon is well beyond my grasp. I merely expressed my thoughts about the controversy, and I received a storm (no pun intended) of comments, many of which showed a lack of careful reading that led to unfair presumptions and interpretations.”

Unfortunately, none of the dozens of responses I read asked the most obvious question: if Randi’s thinking is so sloppy and self-serving on this critical subject–one that has mired the globe in a lunatic debate over whether man or mother earth is to blame for the atmospheric changes threatening civilization–maybe he’s not such a genius after all. Maybe there are other phenomenon “well beyond [his] grasp” that he debunked with as little understanding or investigation as he did AWG.

OK, so it’s not a Tiger-Woods-Emperor-Really-Has-No-Clothes game changer, with its never ending and often richly entertaining unraveling. Still, Randi’s global warming faux pas certainly equals the moment when Dorothy pulls back the curtain and reveals the mighty Oz as a traveling salesman from Kansas–who is not a villain, but a entrepreneur, a guy who spotted an empty market niche and filled it. Just like Randi did all those decades ago.

Another sign hopeful sign that the long Dark Age of Dubunking may be ending, Rupert Sheldrake the aforementioned Cambridge trained biochemist (who was highly regarded for his scientific acumen until he came up with the theory of Morphic Resonance that made him a pariah in his chosen profession) is the subject of a Science and Society Masters dissertation by Phillip Stevens for Imperial College, London titled “Has the Scientific Community Been Unfair to Dr. Rupert Sheldrake.”

In a word, the paper’s answer to the title question is yes, the scientific community has been unfair to Sheldrake. Stevens’ was recently interviewed by Alex Tsakiri on his Skeptiko podcast . Here’s some of what was discussed:

“Stevens found that despite an unblemished academic record and a research fellowship at the Royal Society, Sheldrake faced public scorn from colleagues for publishing his theory of morphic fields which suggests a living, developing universe with its own inherent memory.

But the biggest surprise came when Stevens looked at Sheldrake’s collaboration with skeptics like Dr. Richard Wiseman. According to Stevens Wiseman failed to follow normal procedures scientists use when collaborating and reporting their results.

“Wiseman actually did repeats of Sheldrake’s results. He never denied this, but he only admitted it, I think, ten years later. I mean, in normal experiments, if you repeat someone’s results, you say it. And there didn’t seem to be any reason for him not to say, ‘I’ve repeated his results. These experiments work. Sheldrake wasn’t wrong.’ And you know what? Sheldrake was a Research Fellow at the Royal Society. I would hope that when he has some experiments and tests things he’d get it right because he’s from one of the best institutions of science in Britain and in the world. So I really don’t know why Wiseman took so long just to say, ‘Yes, the patterns in Sheldrake’s works were repeated in my own,’”said Stevens.”

You can read the dissertation here while guardedly rejoicing the dawning of what may be a somewhat enlightened new decade.

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  • Orous

    this website gives a nice breakdown of the scientific consensus on this matter…

    http://www.informationisbeautiful.net/

  • demosale

    I would very much like to see MU and MU+ stay away from politically sensitive topics such as MMGW.
    I'm not familiar with any polling or studies which have sought to estimate the percentage of those in the “Western” world (those who are most likely to be your clientele) who subscribe to the theory of MMGW but I think 50% is probably a realistic #, perhaps even 60%. Regardless of which way the #'s favor, do you really want to alienate potentially 40% – 50%… or even 10% of your audience? There are many folks like myself who based on our personal convictions (which should be RESPECTED) will happily close their wallets to any business, such as MU+, which even occasionally propagate topics such as MMGW theory.

    Please, put on your business owner’s hat(s) and ask yourself this: Is MMGW something that fits within the Genre of topics which MU has historically covered?

  • http://mysteriousuniverse.org Benjamin Grundy

    This article centered around the famous Skeptic James Randi and thus fits perfectly into our genre. My business hat tells me that controversy attracts eyeballs and eyeballs = business ;)

  • demosale

    Dear Ben,

    Thank you for your reply and kind consideration of my input. I suppose you are correct in that by name, Mr. Randi is relevant to this forum and genre but in the end, the article is (in my opinion) nothing more than a rant – a hit-job piece attacking Mr. Randi, offering no intellectual honest consideration or even presentation of his SCIENCE which suggests the MMGW THEORY is wrong, except for a few select excerpts from his posting on AGW. The article is suggestive that if you’re not on the band wagon that the earth is flat, you’re an empty shell void of rational thought. Given the subject matter of this article, so far as it pertains to Mr. Randi and MMGW, I honestly don’t see the relevance it has to this forum / your website / our genre except to attempt to cast him in a negative light because most of us, including me, disagree with his SCIENTIFIC based analysis of topics within our genre. But then again, I also do breath this stuff like you guys do for a living, day in and day out so perhaps I’m just being a bit sensitive here.

    I can appreciate the angle you've highlighted which suggests that controversial topics attract traffic but I disagree with your presumption that this by default translates into sustainable revenue. To this end, controversy is best stirred when going against the grain, not with it. I suspect that your audience is more likely to subscribe to your support for MMGW theory (this has been made evident in a handful of comments you’ve made in the past on your show). So, the only controversy likely to be stirred up by articles such as this is with folks like me who might otherwise be put off by unnecessary politics which are irrelevant to our genre and mutual interests.

    Please don’t be offended by my asking but if controversy and resulting traffic are you aim, such as you have opined, why not talk about or post articles about alleged abortions caused by aliens or miscarriages caused poltergeists. How about the death penalty or the right to bare arms?

    I’ve listened to every single one of your shows. You’re an extremely hard working man and so is your mate. You’ve grabbed a big nut incorporating such as you have, re-launching you endeavour. You guys put on a great show, your work is superb and I hope it never-ever goes away. This is your business and you should run it as you and your business partner(s) see fit. However, please reconsider my request that you stay clear of politically charged topics such as MMGW, etc.

    Thank you very much for your time.

    A sincere fan,

    Paul R.
    Austin, TX

  • http://twitter.com/AngelTheSeaGuy AngelTheSeaguy

    Dear Demosale,
    Your Comment was a snorefest so i just skimed thru it, but it appears that you are offended by this article and suggest that MMGW is a sensitive political topic that should not be talked about here at mysterious universe but i beg to differ the topic itself is only as sensitive as those who want to make it be, and i think that this topic deserves to be blogged about just as any other paranormal,cryptic, conspiracy, ect. topic should becouse quite frankly i enjoy reading a variety of subjects here at mysterious universe they give me a chance to view and ponder things in a different light and after all is it not just entertainment amirite? its not like its being forced down your thalamus, and btw i am a big fan of the Great Amazing Randi and his work althought he can be a cocky man, so all im saying is if a topic does not suit your taste one could just simply ignore it and wait for the next exciting article here at MU, after all aren't we all just one happy community wanting to know more about the mysteries the universe has to offer.

  • Tikki

    Is it wrong that I’m thoroughly intrigued by poltergeist miscarrages?

  • http://existtomorrow.com/ Tony

    The entire argument put forth in this post is based on an “ad hominem” — I'll give you a second to Google the word. That's the problem with those who believe in the paranormal…you are more interested in trying to debunk a skeptic than producing substantial evidence that ghosts or any other such phenomenon exist. You actually said in this article “The long dark age of debunking”. What does that even mean? I might suggest that you read Carl Sagan's “The Demon-Haunted World”. Skepticism and debunking have been key components in bringing us out of the dark ages, thank you very much. It would be cool if ghosts and aliens and clairvoyants were real — that's why we listen to this podcast — but they're not and there is no credible evidence to suggest otherwise. Mysterious Universe is simply entertainment. I for one like to be entertained and I like ghost stories.

  • http://profiles.yahoo.com/u/ELSJIKRMM6TWQLB7IGYDZCZTTI Lefty Guns

    Randi was the old lovable darling of skeptics and atheist until he attacked their sacred cow of man made global warming. Randi is being Randi. He is a skeptic. The other “skeptics” who normally attack paranormal theories with vigor suddenly set their skepticism aside regarding man made global warming and readily accept it as fact.
    Political ideology and science don't mix.

  • Infusion2k7

    The most intersting point here is the 32,000 scientists on the petition, as oppose to a much smaller amount on the panel of teh IPCC, most of which arn't scientists at all.
    So call me crazy, but I trust the vast majority of scientists who have nothing to gain by lying about it, instead of teh givernmant grant backed psudo-scientists.

    They could clear the whole issue up within an hour. A 1 hour TV show with people from both sides each having to prove their point. Jobs a good 'un and the whole world can make a REAL decision. not one based upon propoganda.

    We all know the govenment jumped all over the climate issue so they could impose a 'green tax' anyway. It's not like Mohter Earth accepts cash anyhow. I don;t really get how paying for CO2 use will make the planet a cleaner, greener place. It'll just make poor people poorer and rich people astronomically rich.

    * Did someone say carbon credi derivitives.. Hmmm sounds like ANOTHER financial melt down for our childrens children to mop up.

  • Orous

    Infusion2k7-

    the minimum requirements for signing the petition is having a Bachelor of Science degree… the website http://www.informationisbeautiful.net illustrates that there are almost 13,000,000 scientist in teh US that qualify to sign the petition… which means %0.24 signed the petition project.

    The IPCC looks at published scientific data regarding global climate change, they dont create their own, and they are very careful not to include any information which the scientific community is skeptical of, or which isnt legitimately reviewed and accepted by the scientific community.

    The poor countries are the ones who will suffer most from global climate change, so am not sure how addressing climate chqange will make poor people more poor and rich people more rich… its obvious that the rich nations are trying very hard to do as little as possible, while the poor countries are freaking out because they know this will effect them in a more drastic way.

    We can always talk about how the response to climate change is lacking or should be different, but thats a different topic from the legitimacy of the thing itself.

  • Tikki

    The Petition Project currently consists of 31,486 AMERICAN “scientist”. Over a third of those either have, or are currently in their BS or an equivalent degree. Additionally, over 2300 are MD’s. 9029 are PhD’s (whether they are currently completing, just graduating, or are season’s researchers is unknown). Moreover, if you look at the break down of who’s signed the petition, almost 10,000 are engineers, with over 2100 of those being electrical. There are only 39 climatologists, and 94 earth sciences.
    While climate change and global warming must be considered a multidisciplinary subject, I would question the validity of knowledge about the climate and the long-term health, social, structural, political, geographical, and environmental impact that an MD and/or an electrical engineer may have.
    More importantly, why are they only American scientists? America has only been on the global bandwagon for a short time. It has only become a political hot topic recently. I don’t know the funding opportunities for Americans, but I would guess that only recently has there been an influx in funds directed towards environmental research.
    This isn’t a topic that can be solved in an hour. The impacts of global warming, the facts, and the outcomes that are being seen are not strictly in the hard sciences, nor are they immediate. The general shift of culture and society has seen massive increases in air pollution, ground pollution, increases in the meat industry, decreasing green spaces, more infrastructures throughout rural and urban areas, and numerous others factors that will impact the development and/or decline of our environment- and these have all happen within the last 25 years. While there may or may not be concrete/measureable effects within our biosphere right now, we can not discount the influence of the drastic changes to our environment, which have been manmade, and how these may impact us in 20, 50, 100 years from now.
    The main point of this article, which has been pointed out, is that Randi uses questionable means to make a point. Tackling such a large, politically fuel topic as global warming, you would expect a seasoned researcher to have valid, well-thought, and coherent arguments to support his statement. This article points out that, in this particular instance, this is not the case….this then leads into his credibility of debunking other topics.

  • Dan, Norway

    There Co2 consentration is about 0,038% and water wapor is the main component of the greenhouse effect. Get real people, there is no man made global warming.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Courtney-Franklin/100000200874650 Courtney Franklin

    I like James Randi but I disagree with him on this one.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Courtney-Franklin/100000200874650 Courtney Franklin

    Like Peter Popoff? Man I knew Peter wasn't getting messages from his wife up in the media room but from lord all mighty himself!

  • http://blog.matthewmiller.net/ Matt

    I hate to break it to you, but most skeptics realize that human beings are not perfect and can be wrong one one topic and right on others.

    You however seem to think that if someone is wrong about one topic they're automatically wrong about everything else. That's very shoddy logic to say the least.

  • Chad

    The “science” behind man made global warming is sloppy. I have heard people say things like “the dabate over climate change is over, now is the time to act before it is too late.”
    the bottom line is that the same people that are now spouting global warming, were the same people twenty years ago that were warning of the coming ice age. It is all a pawn to grab more power for their lunatic base. Wake up people. google bilderberg group, google chemtrails, google fluoride in the drinking water. We have bigger things to worry about than “global warming”